The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) under the Trump administration has directed federal agencies to prepare for significant employee layoffs in the event of a government shutdown, set to occur if Congress fails to pass a funding deal by September 30, 2025.
Unlike past shutdowns, where federal workers were typically furloughed temporarily, the OMB’s memo instructs agencies to issue reduction-in-force (RIF) notices for employees in programs lacking alternative funding and deemed inconsistent with President Trump’s priorities. This directive marks a sharp departure from previous shutdown protocols and escalates tensions in ongoing budget negotiations with Congressional Democrats.
The memo ordering employee layoffs is seen as an attempt to pressure Democrats, who are demanding an extension of the Affordable Care Act’s enhanced tax credits (set to expire at year’s end) as a condition for any stopgap funding measure. Republicans, including Trump, are pushing for a “clean” funding extension without additional provisions, and Trump canceled a planned meeting with Democratic leaders to discuss the impasse.
Democrats, including Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, condemned the memo as an intimidation tactic, with Schumer predicting that courts would likely overturn such firings and Jeffries accusing the administration of targeting federal workers to punish families.
The OMB’s strategy aligns with Trump’s broader efforts to reduce the federal workforce, as evidenced by a February 2025 executive order calling for large-scale staff reductions. Past shutdowns, like the 2013 one, furloughed around 850,000 workers, but essential services (e.g., Social Security, law enforcement, air traffic control) continued. The current threat of employee layoffs could affect non-essential programs, potentially disrupting services like national parks, food inspections, and federal lending. Opponents, such as former OMB official Bobby Kogan, criticized the move as “extortive” and harmful to national expertise. With no deal in sight and funding expiring soon, a shutdown appears increasingly likely, intensifying partisan conflicts.
